Difference between revisions of "HadCET CUSUM analysis"

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Revision as of 12:49, 29 May 2019

CUSUM analysis - a statistical technique borrowed from the quality control discipline - is deceptively simple to calculate by spreadsheet or even by hand yet a powerful tool for screening out 'noise' and spotting trend changes

  1. calculate the deviations from mean average
  2. first value = 0
  3. second value = first value + first deviation
  4. third value = second value + second deviation
  5. and so on
  6. final value = 0 by definition of average must be so

The thing to look for is abrupt kinks in the graph, which shout 'something changed here'